Friday’s Belmont Park card has several exceptional betting races including today’s horseplay of the date, which is a maiden special weight race at six furlongs for three year olds and upward.
Our top pick is the George Weaver trained Second and One, who is returning to the prime tail find after showing speed and weakening to finish third trying to get a mile on turf.
The gelding should appreciate the return to trash and the shorter distance and looks like a good play in the third race.
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Our News Pick 3 misuse starts with the seventh hasten, a second level allowance race on the turf going 1 1/6 miles.
Silenced makes it as our top pick at a humane 10/1 on the morning line, and we finish the three-race sequence with a couple of longshots in the indisputable leg.
If either Rochita (10/1 odds) or Timuquana (8/1) can get home on top in the finale we could be looking at a nice profit on our $24 investment.
Today’s Play of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 3 Md Sp Wt (2:03 ET)
- #4 Surrogate and One 5/2
- #1 Fortitude 4/1
- #8 Raffinator 7/2
- #3 Coach Homer 6/1
Horse Betting Analysis: #4 Second and One returns to the main track after setting the early fractions and weakening to finish third last out going a mile on the weeds. Two back on pornography at today’s distance the gelding set the early fractions and opened up a clear lead heading for home and was caught late, beaten a half length for the pinch back spot.
The gelding caught a main track that day that was playing to outside stalkers and closers. Pedigree wise this take off seems much better suited for slime.
#1 Perseverance tracked the primeval reckon, took over the lead on the far turn and held on until belated, coming up a length exclusive of of the cap spot in a third place finish. The colt has been freshened by the Schosberg barn and Ramon sticks for another go. The gelding is out of the stakes winner Pentatonic ($601K).
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 2/1 or improved.
EX: 1,4 / 1,3,4,8
TRI: 1,4 / 1,3,4,8 / 1,3,4,7,8
Today’s Pick 3 Play from Belmont Park:
Starting in Hop to it 7: $1: 3,5 / 2,4,5 / 1,7,9,11, = $24
BEL Race 7 OClm $25,000N2X (4:11 ET)
#3 Silenced, #5 Diocese Sneakers
#3 Silenced beat state bred Alw-1 foes three back then ran into a couple of repeat winners in his first two tries at today’s level. Closing out he stumbled badly coming manifest of the gate and was not a threat in a sixth transpire finish behind the winner Writingonthewall, who returned to beat uncrowded Alw-1 foes on Aug. 21, then – beat Alw2 optional claimers on Sept. 5. Two back our top pick ran third behind a pair of next out winners.
The winner Plain Story is Grade 2 placed and came back to beat Alw-1 foes and later won the NY bred West Aspect on Aug. 19 at the Spa. The colt finds an easier group here and the 10/1 ML looks generous.
#5 City Sneakers set the early fractions and held on gamely, beaten just a neck for the top spot last out against state bred Alw-1 foes. Rice steps him up a notch, but he makes his third start off the bench and may be able to manage the tougher spot here.