This is the time when political bettors try to get the early jump on what might come to pass when the 2012 presidential election cycle comes, and at the moment former Alaska governor Sarah Palin is the early favorite for the 2012 Republican nomination. Of course, Palin was the 2008 vice-presidential designee in the party, and she has been conducting her own personal publicity campaign at all since (well, at least in the opinion of many). In the political betting odds, she is priced at +250 to get the nod.
Can I offer a little political commentary here? After all, I was a third-party candidate in the matrix two elections, and I actually got sidetracked by John McCain’s motorcade in Nashville en route to almost being late inasmuch as my own contention a couple of years ago (okay, I don’t want to revisit that). The point is, I’m watching with something of an eagle eye, agreeable to pounce. or ready to register to vote. I don’t know; it’s one of those two.
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I won’t be registering as a Republican, but I find this field of potential nominees to be quite interesting. There is something that tells me someone who is not even on this list is going to emerge between now and late next year, when everyone will have considered whether to run in the Iowa caucus or the New Hampshire primary or in whatever state decides it wants to go first. A lot may depend on who can gain grip with the tea defender movement, Yes, I really believe that; there is nothing I have seen yet – and historians I’ve talked to, including one of my campaign advisers, Darcy Richardson, have told me likewise – that has grown so aggressive and so organically.
That having been said, here’s the laundry list we have in frank of us:
Political Betting Odds: To Win 2012 Republican Nomination
- Sarah Palin +250
- Mitt Romney +400
- Bobby Jindal +500
- Mike Huckabee +500
- Tim Pawlenty +1000
- Mark Sanford +1200
- Charlie Crist +1200
- David Petraeus +1500
- Newt Gingrich +1500
- Jeb Bush +2000
- John McCain +2000
- Rudolph Giuliani +1500
- Ron Paul +2000
Here’s the political betting review, one-by-one:
SARAH PALIN (+250 in the political betting odds) — Yeah, she’s rapidly become distinguished for being famous, but she is just not going to get there at the undecided. There’s an entertainment quotient that is pretty extraordinary here, but it is a little too cartoonish to be charmed seriously. In influence, she has been running for president ever since the polls were closed in November 2008, and so she’s had the gloss over on many. But there will be better alternatives for conservatives by the conditions there has to be, I am reasonably assured of that.
MITT ROMNEY (+400 in the political betting odds) — Romney has the kind of solid business background that will make him attractive to varied primary voters. But man, he spent a lot of boodle pattern lifetime around and exceptionally didn’t get anywhere. That’s not efficient machination. They’ll up till jump on him for some of his flip-flops too.