Since nobody’s convinced that Antonio Rogerio Nogueira nor Ryan Bader are really contenders in the light heavyweight division, it makes perfect divine that they’d be matched up in a stacked sports betting weekend.
Almost all the fight lines at UFC 119 betting are pretty tight, and this bout is no rarity.
Neither can really afford to have a lackluster victory on their resume, since they both already demand plenty, so if both fighters respond to the pressure mounting behind them, then we’re in for a helluva fight.
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That is, of course, unless Nogueira decides to fall asleep in this match like he did against Jason Brilz. Nogueira has a very nasty habit of playing down and up to the level of his opponent as opposed to of just hammering them like we know he’s skilful of.
One of the things that we track in sports betting is the ability to impose your will on an opponent (think Inexperienced England Patriots 2007).
For whatever reason, Nogueira lacks that final gear in his arsenal. What he doesn’t lack is a definitive predisposition for boxing, which Bader doesn’t appear able to match.
That doesn’t mean you should be lumping all your notes behind the Brazilian in sports betting on Saturday night, but it does give Nogueira the early advantage in the fight despite the fact he’s an underdog.
Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (19-3) vs. Ryan Bader (11-0)
September 25th — Conseco Fieldhouse — 11:30pm EST
UFC 119 Sports Betting Line: Nogueira +145 / Bader -175
Seeing Nogueira as an underdog is a big problem though. Bader is just 27-years old making him younger, more powerful and a much better grappler than his opponent this weekend at UFC 119. While he didn’t necessarily showcase a great knack for defending good boxing when he tussled with Keith Jardine, Bader is also brilliant enough to hype a dismount inside and wrap Nogueira up.
Very few would hesitate that Bader’s power can put Nogueira on the mat from there.
Bader is a monster of a light heavyweight and constantly toes the 205-pound contract for at 6-foot-2. Nogueira, who is used to having a size advantage will undersell how much girth and size Bader boasts and anybody round on the mat will cause the Brazilian to check out of this fight mentally.
I don’t be uncertain Nogueira’s physical toughness. I in doubt his mental tenacity. Babies risers in the spill heavyweight division, and heavyweight division, sometimes fail you in sports betting, but I’m succour Bader feverishly. I just like how he matches up against Nogueira overall, and he’ll licence a brutal and looming ground assault to push Nogueira farther down the ladder.
This line has a chance to take off for everywhere the week, and if you’re smart you’re going to grab it early before the public weight in on Saturday. Bader’s odds will decrease in value if you don’t deplane this early enough, so return your sports betting pick in sooner rather than later. Bader all the way.